US Home Values Fall for Second Straight Month in October

Zillow

National home values fell in October from September, according to the October Zillow Real Estate Market Reports, the second month in a row of falling home values and the first consecutive monthly declines since the market hit bottom in October 2011. The U.S. Zillow Home Value Index was $162,800 in October, down 0.1 percent from September.

Half of the 388 metros covered experienced monthly home value depreciation in October from September. Among the 30 largest metro areas covered by Zillow, 10 exhibited monthly depreciation in October, and two more were flat.

Home values nationwide rose 5.2 percent year-over-year, a much slower pace than annual appreciation rates in the 7 percent range experienced over the summer, and further proof that the market has begun to cool off after months of unsustainable appreciation. For the 12-month period from October 2013 to October 2014, national home values are expected to rise just 2.7 percent, roughly half the current pace, according to the Zillow Home Value Forecast. Seven of the top 30 metros covered by Zillow are expected to see home values fall over the next year, with the biggest declines in St. Louis (-1.5 percent), Philadelphia (-0.9 percent) and New York (-0.7 percent).

“The months-long period of annual home value appreciation rates in the 6 and 7 percent range was great while it lasted, but we knew it would not continue indefinitely. The slowdown we’ve seen these past few months was expected and is largely welcome news for a market still struggling to find its natural balance,” said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries.  “The conditions that led to the robust appreciation experienced earlier this year, including historically low mortgage interest rates, high affordability, low inventory and high demand, are waning. In their place, we’re beginning to see more inventory and rising mortgage rates, which will lead to further normalization in the market going forward.”

National rents rose in October from September, up 0.2 percent to a Zillow Rent Index of $1,300. Year-over-year, national rents were up 2.3 percent in October.

The number of completed foreclosures in October fell to 5.44 homes foreclosed out of every 10,000 homes nationwide, down from 5.5 homes in September. Foreclosure resales represented 8.7 percent of homes sold in the U.S. in October, up 0.5 percentage points from September but down 2.1 percentage points from October 2012.

Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) Zillow Rent Index (ZRI)
Metropolitan Areas October 2013 ZHVI Month-Month % Change Year-Year % Change October 2013 ZRI Month-Month % Change Year-Year % Change
United States $162,800 -0.1% 5.2% $1,300 0.2% 2.3%
New York, NY $354,100 0.0% 3.4% $2,305 -0.3% 7.1%
Los Angeles, CA $487,600 1.2% 20.1% $2,332 0.1% 2.5%
Chicago, IL $171,600 -0.2% 6.5% $1,571 0.9% 3.8%
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX $142,900 -0.7% 10.3% $1,359 0.5% 3.3%
Philadelphia, PA $188,700 -0.6% 1.8% $1,500 -0.2% 1.4%
Washington, DC $343,500 0.1% 8.1% $2,090 -0.1% 1.7%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL $175,000 1.2% 16.9% $1,676 0.4% 5.5%
Atlanta, GA $128,500 0.2% 14.3% $1,157 0.8% 3.0%
Boston, MA $343,800 0.5% 9.2% $2,014 0.8% 3.3%
San Francisco, CA $636,900 1.0% 24.1% $2,580 0.5% 3.8%
Detroit, MI $98,300 0.9% 22.7% $1,045 -0.3% 1.8%
Riverside, CA $250,000 0.8% 30.4% $1,590 0.3% 1.9%
Phoenix, AZ $186,000 0.7% 19.4% $1,147 0.2% -0.5%
Seattle, WA $306,000 0.0% 13.8% $1,705 0.9% 6.0%
Minneapolis-St Paul, MN $199,700 0.1% 15.6% $1,472 0.4% 2.7%
San Diego, CA $437,500 0.9% 20.4% $2,166 0.4% 2.7%
St. Louis, MO $128,200 -0.9% 0.9% $1,111 0.2% 0.1%
Tampa, FL $129,500 0.7% 16.2% $1,211 0.1% 3.0%
Baltimore, MD $229,000 -0.7% 4.3% $1,681 -0.2% 0.8%
Denver, CO $246,500 -0.2% 9.9% $1,613 1.1% 8.1%
Pittsburgh, PA $111,400 -0.7% 1.8% $1,038 1.4% 3.4%
Portland, OR $258,000 -0.2% 13.60% $1,456 0.9% 5.0%
Sacramento, CA $284,500 0.3% 30.40% $1,475 0.3% 1.7%
Orlando, FL $148,300 1.1% 20.20% $1,262 0.6% 5.3%
Cincinnati, OH $128,800 0.1% 4.20% $1,120 0.7% 5.9%
Cleveland, OH $114,600 -0.1% 3.60% $1,114 0.1% 3.9%
Las Vegas, NV $164,600 1.5% 33.20% $1,171 0.4% 2.0%
San Jose, CA $731,500 -0.1% 19.60% $2,737 0.8% 6.1%
Columbus, OH $133,800 0.5% 5.6% $1,211 0.8% 6.2%
Charlotte, NC $140,900 0.1% 3.5% $1,144 0.3% 0.6%
View Comments (6)